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Distribird: Literature-Informed Prior Distribution Design for Bayesian Model Calibration
arXiv:2608.11210v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian calibration of process-based models requires a prior distribution for each model parameter. Despite decades of methodological work, researchers almost always fall back on uniform priors. The main reason is that building informative priors from scientific literature is slow and needs both domain and statistical expertise. We present \textbf{Distribird}, an agentic web application that automates this process. Given a parameter name, physical description, and domain context, Distribird deploys a multi-agent pipeline that searches the literature, extracts and weights reported values by domain relevance, and fits a probability distribution via AIC model selection. When no literature is available, the system falls back to sensible uninformative alternatives, and clearly reports both the evidence behind and the confidence level of every prior it produces. It is designed for the problems where the models have physically interpretable par
Top-down Traffic Scenario Generation via Joint Initial-Goal Diffusion and Trajectory Infilling
arXiv:2608.11407v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Robust traffic simulators are crucial for developing and testing autonomous vehicles to reduce the costly, labor-intensive real-world data collection process and the need for physical presence on the road. However, existing simulators require agents' initial states to generate trajectories, which limits scalability and diversity due to restrictions on the given initial states. While data-driven agent initialization has been widely studied, the generated initial states are not interpretable in terms of why the agents are initialized at those specific locations. Given known initial states, trajectory generation is also a challenging problem, as the model must learn the variability of the destination and how agents should reach it over time. In this paper, we propose TrafficDiffuser, a top-down traffic scenario generation framework that generates high-level traffic scenarios, defined by initial and goal state pairs, by jointly modeling them.
Dynamic Governance of Multi-LLM Agent Systems for Collaborative Conversational Outcomes
arXiv:2608.11207v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When two LLM agents with structurally opposed objectives interact across multiple turns, the absence of a shared goal function produces not competition but collapse: the visitor capitulates, the site agent stops varying its approach, and the conversation terminates without achieving either agent's stated objective. This paper asks whether a control-theoretic governance layer can substitute for that missing goal function. The Experience Orchestrator (EO) addresses this in a simulated financial services environment where a site agent guides a visitor toward advisor contact while the visitor maintains psychologically realistic resistance. EO governs the joint trajectory through three mechanisms: a Contextual Bandit (CB) that selects content arms calibrated from real-world web analytics, a PID controller that enforces behavioral consistency via dynamic schema constraints, and a POMDP belief tracker that maintains a probabilistic model of visi
Adaptation of Generalist Robot Policies with Minimal Data
arXiv:2608.11363v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A central goal in robot learning is to move beyond task-specific human data collection toward robots that improve through autonomous interaction. Yet fully autonomous learning remains difficult with current policies: sparse rewards and weak zero-shot exploration make it unlikely that a robot will discover successful behavior from scratch. We study minimal-data adaptation, a regime in which a pre-trained robot policy must learn a new task from as little as one demonstration followed by autonomous online interaction. This setting serves as the closest tractable proxy for fully autonomous improvement, allowing us to study whether minimal human guidance can bootstrap autonomous learning and what algorithmic ingredients make it feasible. We build MiDAS, a simple offline-to-online RL recipe that first anchors a pre-trained VLA to the target task with behavior cloning on single/few demonstrations, then improves it through value-based online RL o
Why AI Detection Fails for Academic Integrity
arXiv:2608.11256v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Institutions use commercial AI detectors for academic integrity, yet detectors cannot distinguish AI editing from full LLM drafts and may treat both as misconduct. In a controlled study of published English abstracts (four domains; 2013 to 2015 vs. 2023 to 2025), we quantify this policy failure under proxy human/AI labels at tau=0.50. Light "refine abstract only" edits, a proxy for guideline-compliant AI assistance, are flagged at 64 to 80% (Pangram/GPTZero). Unmodified 2023 to 2025 originals are flagged at 9 to 15%, with non-STEM rates far above STEM (p96%). Honest AI-editing results in a higher sanction risk than humanizer-assisted evasion. Therefore, detector scores should not serve as standalone misconduct evidence.
“The human speed has to match the AI speed. Only then you get leverage.”
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How a 12-Person Logistics Company Saved $84,000 a Year by Automating Invoice Processing with AI
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Thailand’s Creative Advantage in the Age of AI (Part II)
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MCP vs APIs: What’s the Difference, and When Should You Use Each?
A practical look at why just use an API stopped being a complete answer once AI agents entered the pictureContinue reading on Medium »
What is The Biggest Risk of AI?
Over 1600 cases have been identified so far, where lawyers used fake citations other forms of hallucinated content, resulting in fines Continue reading on Medium »
Precisão e Recall: o trade-off por trás da caixa de busca
Uma das interfaces humano-m quina mais eficientes j criadas foi a de conduzir um ve culo. Apesar da enorme evolu o da mec nica, da Continue reading on Medium »
Archie G. Norcross' Maine Forest Fire Maps (1918–22)
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