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When AI Becomes a Scientist, What Will Keep It Curious?
Can Large Language Models Overcome Their Own Limitations?Continue reading on Medium »
The Gemini app is now available for Windows
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Adaptive Entangled Game Modules in Artificial General Intelligence
arXiv:2609.09226v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce a probability-wave framework for modeling the collective behavior of interacting adaptive agents, deriving testable eigenmodes through a generalized behavioral intelligence (GBI) nonlocal probability-wave equation. This framework captures a broad range of human intelligence behaviors with analytical mechanisms and offers an indirect method to examine the Liu-Chen-Ao (LCA) hypothesis of nonlocal entangled nerve fibers in the brain through collective trader behaviors. Our empirical analysis of Chinese intraday stock market data demonstrates that adaptive entangled game modes explain 82-94% (89% overall) of observed decision patterns, a sharp contrast to the predictions of neoclassical finance based on independent rational agents. Moreover, 2-12% of behaviors show adaption to intraday news, events, and environments, characterized by dual equilibrium states and abrupt reference point shifts, while purely independent modes occur i
OpenDiscoveryTrace: Process Traces for Evaluating AI Scientist Workflows
arXiv:2609.09203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Existing benchmarks for autonomous AI scientists evaluate only final outputs---generated code, hypotheses, or papers---yet discard the reasoning process by which those outputs were obtained. This makes it impossible to audit scientific methodology, diagnose failure modes, or distinguish systematic reasoning from fortunate guessing. We present \textbf{OpenDiscoveryTrace}, a public dataset of 558 complete AI scientific agent trajectories that captures how models reason, not just what they produce. Each trajectory records a structured 9-field-per-step trace---including thoughts, tool calls, observations, errors, revision triggers, and self-reported confidence---as models execute 124 scientific tasks spanning drug discovery, materials science, genomics, and scientific literature analysis. The dataset covers seven models: three frontier models (GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, and Gemini 3.1 Pro; 124 trajectories each, fully balanced across domains a
When Information is Worth the Risk: Behavioral Valuation for Hazardous Robotic Exploration
arXiv:2609.10726v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hazardous robotic exploration requires robots to map spatial risks, such as unsafe terrain, radiation, fire, mines, or structural damage, while operating where collecting information can itself cause failure. A highly informative path may expose the robot to hazards, terminate execution, and prevent future observations. Hazardous exploration therefore requires deciding not only where uncertainty is largest, but when reducing it is worth the risk. This paper introduces a valuation-layer view of this problem. We keep the belief update, sensor model, physical risk model, and finite-horizon informative planner fixed, and change only the scalar objective used to rank feasible paths. Within this framework, we introduce a risk-augmented Behavioral Information objective based on Prelec probability weighting, yielding an interpretable family of conservative-to-aggressive information-risk valuations. Theoretically, we show that valuation parameters
M3-Former: Multimodal Transformer with Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Term Vessel Trajectory Prediction
arXiv:2609.10559v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: To address the challenges of behavioral multimodality, limited semantic utilization, and long-term error accumulation in vessel trajectory prediction, this paper proposes M3-Former, a multimodal trajectory prediction framework enhanced by large language models (LLMs). The proposed framework incorporates vessel static attributes and navigational intent as semantic priors for long-term trajectory modeling. Specifically, a unified multimodal representation space is constructed, in which static semantic information is encoded by a pre-trained LLM and aligned with dynamic trajectory features through self-attention. To jointly capture global route planning and local motion variations, a dual-granularity Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture is introduced, where sequence-level experts model global navigation trends and token-level experts refine fine-grained maneuvering behaviors. In addition, a Steering-Weighted Cross-Entropy loss is designed t
Halo: Improving forecast accuracy through heteroscedastic estimation
arXiv:2609.10589v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Heteroscedastic forecasting, where a network estimates a scale parameter alongside a location parameter, is normally motivated by uncertainty quantification. This paper shows it also improves the point estimate, in contrast to reported negative results for heteroscedastic estimation outside time series. Halo is a modification that reuses an existing deep forecaster's architecture, giving it a second output for the scale of its implied distribution and training it under the matching negative log likelihood. Adapting three state-of-the-art models --- a transformer, a graph network paired with a variational autoencoder, and a single-layer convolutional network --- under both Gaussian and Laplacian losses demonstrates the phenomenon. On the five electricity price markets of a standard forecasting benchmark, Halo improves MSE and MAE in 28 of 30 model-market-metric comparisons, cutting average MSE by 2.6% to 16.5% and average MAE by 1.7% to 11
HuRo: Robotizing Human Videos for Scalable VLA Pretraining
arXiv:2609.10706v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human video datasets have emerged as a compelling alternative to expensive real-robot data, offering rich diversity at scale. To bridge the human-to-robot embodiment gap, existing approaches either robotize videos in task-matched settings or address observation and action alignment separately at scale. In this work, we systematically examine whether robotized human videos can provide effective and scalable supervision for pretraining vision-language-action (VLA) policies. To this end, we develop a robotization pipeline that converts heterogeneous human videos into robot-aligned observations and action trajectories while inferring missing intermediate signals across annotation levels. Using this pipeline, we construct the HuRo dataset, comprising about 630K robotized episodes and 142M processed frames from five human-video sources. Across four real-world manipulation tasks, increasing robotized pretraining scale improves overall completion
Bagaimana AI Mengubah Cara Saya Bekerja (dan Bisa Mengubah Cara Kamu Juga)
Jam 9 malam. Laptop masih menyala. To-do list belum juga mengecil.Continue reading on Medium »
Reverse-Engineering Claude Web's MicroVM: Uncovering Anthropic's Hidden Antspace
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The Destination of Power Without a Vision, and the Future of Humans and Artificial Intelligence
A look back at history reveals that human beings have exhibited a surprisingly consistent weakness when it comes to how they use power and Continue reading on Medium »
Ukraine Is Finding New Ways to Make Russia Pay
I want you to picture a vault. It s not a physical one, but a legal and financial architecture holding nearly 210 billion in Russian Continue reading on Medium »