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arXiv:2608.11210v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian calibration of process-based models requires a prior distribution for each model parameter. Despite decades of methodological work, researchers almost always fall back on uniform priors. The main reason is that building informative priors from scientific literature is slow and needs both domain and statistical expertise. We present \textbf{Distribird}, an agentic web application that automates this process. Given a parameter name, physical description, and domain context, Distribird deploys a multi-agent pipeline that searches the literature, extracts and weights reported values by domain relevance, and fits a probability distribution via AIC model selection. When no literature is available, the system falls back to sensible uninformative alternatives, and clearly reports both the evidence behind and the confidence level of every prior it produces. It is designed for the problems where the models have physically interpretable par
arXiv:2608.11207v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When two LLM agents with structurally opposed objectives interact across multiple turns, the absence of a shared goal function produces not competition but collapse: the visitor capitulates, the site agent stops varying its approach, and the conversation terminates without achieving either agent's stated objective. This paper asks whether a control-theoretic governance layer can substitute for that missing goal function. The Experience Orchestrator (EO) addresses this in a simulated financial services environment where a site agent guides a visitor toward advisor contact while the visitor maintains psychologically realistic resistance. EO governs the joint trajectory through three mechanisms: a Contextual Bandit (CB) that selects content arms calibrated from real-world web analytics, a PID controller that enforces behavioral consistency via dynamic schema constraints, and a POMDP belief tracker that maintains a probabilistic model of visi
arXiv:2608.11363v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A central goal in robot learning is to move beyond task-specific human data collection toward robots that improve through autonomous interaction. Yet fully autonomous learning remains difficult with current policies: sparse rewards and weak zero-shot exploration make it unlikely that a robot will discover successful behavior from scratch. We study minimal-data adaptation, a regime in which a pre-trained robot policy must learn a new task from as little as one demonstration followed by autonomous online interaction. This setting serves as the closest tractable proxy for fully autonomous improvement, allowing us to study whether minimal human guidance can bootstrap autonomous learning and what algorithmic ingredients make it feasible. We build MiDAS, a simple offline-to-online RL recipe that first anchors a pre-trained VLA to the target task with behavior cloning on single/few demonstrations, then improves it through value-based online RL o
arXiv:2608.11407v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Robust traffic simulators are crucial for developing and testing autonomous vehicles to reduce the costly, labor-intensive real-world data collection process and the need for physical presence on the road. However, existing simulators require agents' initial states to generate trajectories, which limits scalability and diversity due to restrictions on the given initial states. While data-driven agent initialization has been widely studied, the generated initial states are not interpretable in terms of why the agents are initialized at those specific locations. Given known initial states, trajectory generation is also a challenging problem, as the model must learn the variability of the destination and how agents should reach it over time. In this paper, we propose TrafficDiffuser, a top-down traffic scenario generation framework that generates high-level traffic scenarios, defined by initial and goal state pairs, by jointly modeling them.
arXiv:2608.11256v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Institutions use commercial AI detectors for academic integrity, yet detectors cannot distinguish AI editing from full LLM drafts and may treat both as misconduct. In a controlled study of published English abstracts (four domains; 2013 to 2015 vs. 2023 to 2025), we quantify this policy failure under proxy human/AI labels at tau=0.50. Light "refine abstract only" edits, a proxy for guideline-compliant AI assistance, are flagged at 64 to 80% (Pangram/GPTZero). Unmodified 2023 to 2025 originals are flagged at 9 to 15%, with non-STEM rates far above STEM (p96%). Honest AI-editing results in a higher sanction risk than humanizer-assisted evasion. Therefore, detector scores should not serve as standalone misconduct evidence.
arXiv:2608.11254v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the reliable integration of photovoltaic power into modern electricity grids. All-sky imagers (ASI) provide high-resolution observations of clouds, making them well suited for intra-hour forecasting. Recent deep learning approaches have substantially improved forecast accuracy but are often limited by deterministic predictions and a reduced capability to anticipate ramp events. This work proposes FarSky, a generative forecasting framework that leverages latent-space coupling to learn task-aware representations of sky images. A multi-task autoencoder first learns a shared latent representation for image reconstruction and irradiance estimation. A latent diffusion model then generates future latent states conditioned on recent observations, from which irradiance forecasts are directly decoded. Probabilistic forecasts are inherently obtained through stochastic sampling. The framework is
Enterprise Document Intelligence [Vol.1 #5nonies] - Nature, plan, execute, synthesize: closing brick 1 with a dispatcher that reads each PDF’s nature and picks the method that fits, fitz, Docling, PaddleOCR, EasyOCR, MinerU or Surya, then folds the outputs into one corpus The post Before Full Agentic RAG: Know How You Decide, and the Parsing Methods You Pick From appeared first on Towards Data Science.
From one gradient to every gradient The post Backpropagation Explained for Beginners (Part 3): How Backpropagation Really Works appeared first on Towards Data Science.
Image inputs and structured outputs with Gemma 4 and Ollama The post Building Multimodal Workflows with a Local LLM appeared first on Towards Data Science.
A reproducible Lagos case study with population data, transport access, and airspace constraints The post How to Place Vertiport Locations in Any City Using Geospatial Machine Learning appeared first on Towards Data Science.
In the rush to automate evaluation, from grading student code to ranking research papers, we have embraced Large Language Models as judges. They are fast. These units are cheap. They scale. However, at a workshop at DHS 2026, Bhaskarjit Sarmah made a point that stuck with me: “you can’t trust LLM as a judge. I [ ] The post Why You Shouldn t Always Trust LLMs as Judges: Understanding Bias in Automated Evaluation appeared first on Analytics Vidhya.
arXiv:2608.10025v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For safety-critical software, data from the software's operational past (e.g. a sequence of success and failure events experienced by the software) can provide strong statistical support for reliability claims about the software. However, such data might not describe past software failure events in sufficient detail, and this might leave a reliability assessment (based on this data) unable to account for important features of past software failures. In this paper, by extending conservative Bayesian inference (CBI) techniques used in reliability assessment, we illustrate a principled statistical approach for checking the robustness of reliability claims derived from insufficiently detailed operational data. We demonstrate the extent to which insufficient detail in operational data can undermine software reliability claims in autonomous vehicle (AV) safety assessment scenarios. Reliability claims derived from insufficiently fine-grained dat