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Adaptive Entangled Game Modules in Artificial General Intelligence
arXiv:2609.09226v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce a probability-wave framework for modeling the collective behavior of interacting adaptive agents, deriving testable eigenmodes through a generalized behavioral intelligence (GBI) nonlocal probability-wave equation. This framework captures a broad range of human intelligence behaviors with analytical mechanisms and offers an indirect method to examine the Liu-Chen-Ao (LCA) hypothesis of nonlocal entangled nerve fibers in the brain through collective trader behaviors. Our empirical analysis of Chinese intraday stock market data demonstrates that adaptive entangled game modes explain 82-94% (89% overall) of observed decision patterns, a sharp contrast to the predictions of neoclassical finance based on independent rational agents. Moreover, 2-12% of behaviors show adaption to intraday news, events, and environments, characterized by dual equilibrium states and abrupt reference point shifts, while purely independent modes occur i
OpenDiscoveryTrace: Process Traces for Evaluating AI Scientist Workflows
arXiv:2609.09203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Existing benchmarks for autonomous AI scientists evaluate only final outputs---generated code, hypotheses, or papers---yet discard the reasoning process by which those outputs were obtained. This makes it impossible to audit scientific methodology, diagnose failure modes, or distinguish systematic reasoning from fortunate guessing. We present \textbf{OpenDiscoveryTrace}, a public dataset of 558 complete AI scientific agent trajectories that captures how models reason, not just what they produce. Each trajectory records a structured 9-field-per-step trace---including thoughts, tool calls, observations, errors, revision triggers, and self-reported confidence---as models execute 124 scientific tasks spanning drug discovery, materials science, genomics, and scientific literature analysis. The dataset covers seven models: three frontier models (GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, and Gemini 3.1 Pro; 124 trajectories each, fully balanced across domains a
When Information is Worth the Risk: Behavioral Valuation for Hazardous Robotic Exploration
arXiv:2609.10726v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hazardous robotic exploration requires robots to map spatial risks, such as unsafe terrain, radiation, fire, mines, or structural damage, while operating where collecting information can itself cause failure. A highly informative path may expose the robot to hazards, terminate execution, and prevent future observations. Hazardous exploration therefore requires deciding not only where uncertainty is largest, but when reducing it is worth the risk. This paper introduces a valuation-layer view of this problem. We keep the belief update, sensor model, physical risk model, and finite-horizon informative planner fixed, and change only the scalar objective used to rank feasible paths. Within this framework, we introduce a risk-augmented Behavioral Information objective based on Prelec probability weighting, yielding an interpretable family of conservative-to-aggressive information-risk valuations. Theoretically, we show that valuation parameters
M3-Former: Multimodal Transformer with Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Term Vessel Trajectory Prediction
arXiv:2609.10559v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: To address the challenges of behavioral multimodality, limited semantic utilization, and long-term error accumulation in vessel trajectory prediction, this paper proposes M3-Former, a multimodal trajectory prediction framework enhanced by large language models (LLMs). The proposed framework incorporates vessel static attributes and navigational intent as semantic priors for long-term trajectory modeling. Specifically, a unified multimodal representation space is constructed, in which static semantic information is encoded by a pre-trained LLM and aligned with dynamic trajectory features through self-attention. To jointly capture global route planning and local motion variations, a dual-granularity Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture is introduced, where sequence-level experts model global navigation trends and token-level experts refine fine-grained maneuvering behaviors. In addition, a Steering-Weighted Cross-Entropy loss is designed t
Halo: Improving forecast accuracy through heteroscedastic estimation
arXiv:2609.10589v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Heteroscedastic forecasting, where a network estimates a scale parameter alongside a location parameter, is normally motivated by uncertainty quantification. This paper shows it also improves the point estimate, in contrast to reported negative results for heteroscedastic estimation outside time series. Halo is a modification that reuses an existing deep forecaster's architecture, giving it a second output for the scale of its implied distribution and training it under the matching negative log likelihood. Adapting three state-of-the-art models --- a transformer, a graph network paired with a variational autoencoder, and a single-layer convolutional network --- under both Gaussian and Laplacian losses demonstrates the phenomenon. On the five electricity price markets of a standard forecasting benchmark, Halo improves MSE and MAE in 28 of 30 model-market-metric comparisons, cutting average MSE by 2.6% to 16.5% and average MAE by 1.7% to 11
HuRo: Robotizing Human Videos for Scalable VLA Pretraining
arXiv:2609.10706v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human video datasets have emerged as a compelling alternative to expensive real-robot data, offering rich diversity at scale. To bridge the human-to-robot embodiment gap, existing approaches either robotize videos in task-matched settings or address observation and action alignment separately at scale. In this work, we systematically examine whether robotized human videos can provide effective and scalable supervision for pretraining vision-language-action (VLA) policies. To this end, we develop a robotization pipeline that converts heterogeneous human videos into robot-aligned observations and action trajectories while inferring missing intermediate signals across annotation levels. Using this pipeline, we construct the HuRo dataset, comprising about 630K robotized episodes and 142M processed frames from five human-video sources. Across four real-world manipulation tasks, increasing robotized pretraining scale improves overall completion
How to 5x Your Communication Effectiveness with Claude Code
Better understand the intent of your coding agents The post How to 5x Your Communication Effectiveness with Claude Code appeared first on Towards Data Science.
What SHAP Can't Explain About Agentic AI Fraud
Why autonomous agents expose a new explainability problem in fraud detection The post What SHAP Can't Explain About Agentic AI Fraud appeared first on Towards Data Science.
Optimizing LLM Inference Costs in Multi-Agent Systems with Adaptive Model Routing
Moving from static model assignment to intelligent, task-level LLM selection. The post Optimizing LLM Inference Costs in Multi-Agent Systems with Adaptive Model Routing appeared first on Towards Data Science.
Who Questions What Works: When Should We Retest Our Assumptions?
A model is only as reliable as the assumptions behind it The post Who Questions What Works: When Should We Retest Our Assumptions? appeared first on Towards Data Science.
Bodhan AI Releases Four Indic Models for OCR, Translation and Speech
A Hindi lesson can mix English terms (loan words), scanned tables and handwritten equations. Making that content searchable, translating it and reading it aloud requires several kinds of AI. Bodhan AI and AI4Bharat’s four new models target those jobs across Indian languages. Released in September 2026, the models cover document parsing, translation, speech recognition and speech generation, with support for mixed languages and scripts. In this [ ] The post Bodhan AI Releases Four Indic Models for OCR, Translation and Speech appeared first on Analytics Vidhya.
When Do Options Help? Policy Necrosis and Redundant Coverage in Option-Critic
arXiv:2609.05508v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Option-critic learns options: sub-policies together with a learned rule for when each one hands control back. Its headline result is that performance improves as options are added. We explain that result, with theory and experiment. First, the termination rule option-critic learns by maximising return contributes nothing. When the termination test and the policy that picks options read the same values, the test fires at every step, so the learned rule is identical to always terminating. When that policy explores and the test does not, as in option-critic itself, the rule can block the exploration; there are instances where it suffers $\Omega(T)$ regret while always terminating holds to $O(\log T)$. Forcing termination at every step leaves the option-count curve intact. Second, the policy inside an option barely explores at all, so a state locks onto the first action that looked good and never updates again. We name this policy necrosis, g